Angst and then Plot Twist
Took the rig to two shops with little help
First told me there was nothing wrong. I asked him if he even noticed the tire I mentioned, Replied he check everything and couldn't find a problem.. Paid him and left.
Second shop said yup it's bent. Went through the discussion about how? could it be bent with no visible damage and how could he rule out it just wasn't made that way. He replied he gets dozens every year like this and the problem is the axles are too week and go out of alignment on their own. No warranty will cover it.
Took the trailer home and resolved to just replace the tire and when the brakes are worn out and need replacing I'll update the axles then and probably more tires.
On my way home it bothered me that the axles were too weak bc when I took that wheel off I poked my head to look at the tag on axle and it was dirty but it said either 6k or 8k and my old eyes couldn't tell so I ASSumed it was 8K but then I crawled under wiped it clean and what??? 6K axles but the rig is 14k which made me think hey second guy is right it is too weak but how can they get away with that? Simple they subtract the pin weight of 2067 lbs However, that's static load on level ground not real world grrr
Sensing I was on the wrong end of a sharp stick I figured before putting the new tire on it's been 11k miles let me pull the drum to inspect the brakes, bearings and repack the bearings and then I stumbled on this
Hopefully the image is clear enough but there's no pad left on the shoes and the metal shoe is even worn thin. Moreover, the hold down springs if you look close are torqued over and the pins are bent. I have no guess what went wrong here but the other three were fine.
Replaced brake assembly and drum bc well what choice do I have and I'll see how it progresses.
My perceived issues with alignment may be within tolerance and these things may never be exactly laser straight but this brake thing looks to me the more likely cause of the tire wear since the brake failure and tire wear are the same wheel (Hell of coincidence)
When it comes to mechanical failures mine always come in layers